Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.