Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Udinese |
41.2% ( -0.02) | 27.51% ( 0.02) | 31.3% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.94% ( -0.04) | 57.06% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% ( -0.03) | 77.94% ( 0.03) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( -0.03) | 27.24% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.33% ( -0.04) | 62.67% ( 0.05) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( -0.01) | 33.41% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( -0.01) | 70.04% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |