Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bologna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bologna.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Hellas Verona |
63.22% ( -0.18) | 23.07% ( 0.07) | 13.71% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 39.46% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.46% ( -0.03) | 57.54% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.68% ( -0.02) | 78.32% ( 0.02) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% ( -0.08) | 17.83% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.42% ( -0.13) | 48.58% ( 0.13) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.02% ( 0.17) | 51.98% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.01% ( 0.11) | 85.99% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 15.98% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 63.21% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 13.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |