Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 27, 2020 at 12pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds1 - 0Burnley
Reaction
PL roundup: Liverpool and Tottenham held as Leeds eke out win
Sadio Mane had given the champions an early lead.
Dec 27, 21:43
"Incredibly frustrated" Sean Dyche bemoans two key decisions in Leeds defeat
Patrick Bamford's fifth-minute penalty proved decisive after he was adjudged to have been fouled by Burnley goalkeeper Nick Pope.
Dec 27, 16:24
The Match
Match Report
Patrick Bamford converted his 10th league goal of the season from the spot in the fifth minute.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Burnley |
| 65.51% | 20.38% | 14.11% |
| Both teams to score 47.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
