Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 67.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.