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Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 10, 2022 at 1pm UK
El Sadar
Alaves logo

Osasuna
1 - 0
Alaves

Budimir (90+2')
Vidal (9'), Budimir (29'), Torro (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

N'Diaye (15')

Preview: Osasuna vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With only eight league games left to play, Alaves, who sit at the foot of the La Liga table, will aim to keep their slim survival hopes alive on Sunday, when they take on Osasuna away from home.

The visitors are without a win in the Spanish top flight since mid-February, while their opponents sit 10th in the battle for a top-half finish.


Match preview

Osasuna coach Jagoba Arrasate reacts on February 19, 2022© Reuters

Osasuna have enjoyed another commendable campaign in La Liga under the management of Jagoba Arrasate, comfortably keeping themselves away from the relegation scrap and sitting in the top half with 38 points from their 30 league outings.

One thing the boss may point to as a disappointment is his side's inconsistency recently, although that is somewhat understandable given their tough schedule, as Los Rojillos firstly bounced back from consecutive defeats with a surprise win over Villarreal.

That was followed by a 4-0 thrashing at the hands of a resurgent Barcelona side, but they were able to return to winning ways immediately, defeating basement side Levante 3-1 as Ezequiel Avila, Ante Budimir and Darko Brasanac all got on the scoresheet.

Characteristically of their recent run, the victory was immediately followed up by another heavy defeat for Arrasate's men, who were outclassed and beaten 4-1 by Real Betis last time out, as William Carvalho and Alex Moreno stretched their opponents' lead late on after Budimir had pulled a goal back.

Now sitting 10th in the Spanish top flight but at risk of dropping into the bottom half, Los Rojillos will be keen to again bounce back and put their spell of inconsistency behind them in favour of a strong end to the term to seal an upper-mid table finish.

Deportivo Alaves' Gonzalo Escalante celebrates scoring their first goal on April 2, 2022© Reuters

They welcome an Alaves side in desperate need of a reversal in their fortunes, as the visitors aim to remain in the fight for survival.

While El Glorioso did manage to stop an 11-game winless with a surprise 2-1 victory over Valencia in February, they have since been unable to add another notch to their wins column in six attempts.

In that time, they have picked up just two points and head into Sunday's game on the back of three straight defeats, most recently suffering a 4-1 loss away at Atletico Madrid as Joao Felix and Luis Suarez each hit braces, despite Gonzalo Escalante drawing Alaves level on the hour mark.

Following that latest loss, the hierarchy made the decision to dismiss manager Jose Luis Mendilibar after just 12 games at the helm, with new boss Julio Velazquez now tasked with overseeing what would be a dramatic escape.

With time quickly running out to bridge the six-point gap to safety, the league's basement side will travel to Osasuna hoping to record a win in their first game under Velazquez.

Osasuna La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Alaves La Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Alaves form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

 Alaves' Victor Laguardia celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Osasuna will likely be without full-backs Juan Cruz and Jesus Areso due to injuries.

Ante Budimir will lead the line with confidence, having found the net in consecutive games to take his tally to four league goals for the season.

Darko Brasanac and Ezequiel Avila joined him on the scoresheet against Levante, and they should both start in midfield and attack respectively.

Pere Pons remains one of Alaves' only notable absentees, and Gonzalo Escalante, Tomas Pina and Mamadou Loum should line up across the midfield in his stead.

While we are yet to see how Velazquez will line his team up, the defensive pairing of Victor Laguardia and Florian Lejeune is unlikely to be changed, having both been relatively consistent performers throughout the season.

Their survival hopes are largely pinned on Joselu's goals, with the Spaniard having hit the net 12 times so far this season after helping them to avoid the drop with 11 goals in each of the previous two La Liga campaigns.

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Vidal, D Garcia, Hernandez, Sanchez; Moncayola, Torro, Brasanac; Avila, Budimir, R Garcia

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Tenaglia, Laguardia, Lejeune, Duarte; Escalante, Loum, Pina; Mendez, Joselu, Rioja


SM words green background

We say: Osasuna 1-1 Alaves

Considering Osasuna's recent struggles for consistency and the possibility of an initial boost at Alaves under the new manager, we opt for a draw on Sunday.

Los Rojillos will aim to begin correcting their form against the basement side, but El Glorioso are bound to battle bravely with the need for results in their bid to survive.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Osasuna vs Alaves

Osasuna
67.3%
Draw
25.5%
Alaves
7.3%
55
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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