Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.