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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Leyton Orient |
25.48% ( -1.44) | 27.11% ( -0.33) | 47.4% ( 1.77) |
Both teams to score 46.18% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.71% ( 0.31) | 58.29% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.08% ( 0.24) | 78.92% ( -0.24) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.28% ( -1.08) | 38.72% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.54% ( -1.04) | 75.46% ( 1.04) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.36% ( 1) | 24.64% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.84% ( 1.38) | 59.16% ( -1.38) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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