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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Leyton Orient

Crewe
0 - 2
Leyton Orient


Nevitt (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Turns (31'), Archibald (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-2 Leyton Orient

Given the fact that Crewe lost their last home match, it is likely that they will come unstuck once again against the league leaders. Although the O's lost here in November, they have won their last three league games and are in inspired form, so they should be able to cement their place at the top of League Two in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeyton Orient
25.48% (-1.44 -1.44) 27.11% (-0.325 -0.33) 47.4% (1.768 1.77)
Both teams to score 46.18% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.71% (0.305 0.31)58.29% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.08% (0.24 0.24)78.92% (-0.238 -0.24)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-1.075 -1.08)38.72% (1.077 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-1.038 -1.04)75.46% (1.038 1.04)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (1.001 1)24.64% (-1 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (1.379 1.38)59.16% (-1.379 -1.38)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 25.48%
    Leyton Orient 47.4%
    Draw 27.11%
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.377 -0.38)
2-1 @ 6.02% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 9.54% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 13.36% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.421 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 4.37% (0.315 0.32)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.185 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.15 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.4%

How you voted: Crewe vs Leyton Orient

Crewe Alexandra
17.9%
Draw
14.3%
Leyton Orient
67.9%
28
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Crewe
1-0
Leyton Orient
Sambou (90+2')
Thomas (31')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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