Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
42.29% | 27.41% | 30.3% |
Both teams to score 48.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.97% | 57.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% | 77.92% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% | 26.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.12% | 61.88% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.87% | 34.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.18% | 70.82% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |