Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Espanyol |
32.67% | 28.28% | 39.05% |
Both teams to score 46.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.43% | 59.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.09% | 79.91% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% | 33.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.59% | 70.42% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% | 29.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.29% | 65.71% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 12.16% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |