Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Celta Vigo |
30.36% | 29.14% | 40.5% |
Both teams to score 43.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.03% | 62.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.55% | 82.44% |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.72% | 37.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.93% | 74.06% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% | 30.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.28% | 66.72% |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.77% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-3 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 0.94% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.35% Total : 40.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |