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J1 League | Gameweek 22
Aug 5, 2023 at 11am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Morishita (14')
Yonemoto (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tagami (37'), Ota (75'), Ko (85')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 15 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAlbirex Niigata
42.36% (2.872 2.87) 26.82% (-0.553 -0.55) 30.82% (-2.319 -2.32)
Both teams to score 50.28% (0.921 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (1.52 1.52)54.63% (-1.52 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (1.247 1.25)75.96% (-1.248 -1.25)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (2.252 2.25)25.5% (-2.254 -2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (2.981 2.98)60.35% (-2.982 -2.98)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.83099999999999 -0.83)32.5% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.945 -0.95)69.03% (0.94300000000001 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 42.36%
    Albirex Niigata 30.82%
    Draw 26.81%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.394 0.39)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.517 0.52)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.414 0.41)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.439 0.44)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.187 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.216 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.216 0.22)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.502 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.785 -0.79)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.576 -0.58)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.82%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 6am
Gameweek 6
Albirex Niigata
1-3
Nagoya Grampus
Ota (35')
Nagai (56'), Junker (80'), Inagaki (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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