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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 7, 2023 at 11am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
0 - 1
Vissel Kobe


Akiyama (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osako (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Vissel Kobe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Albirex Niigata 1-2 Vissel Kobe

While Alibrex Niigata will be looking to build on Saturday's victory, they face the stern challenge of taking on a Vissel Kobe side who are unbeaten in their last four meetings. Yoshida's side boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vissel Kobe.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawVissel Kobe
32.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 25.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 41.84% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.98% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)29.11% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)65.03% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.016999999999996 0.02)23.7% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.025999999999996 0.03)57.82% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 32.35%
    Vissel Kobe 41.84%
    Draw 25.8%
Albirex NiigataDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.84%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Vissel Kobe

Albirex Niigata
13.6%
Draw
9.1%
Vissel Kobe
77.3%
22
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