Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
We said: Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona
There will be no repeat of Verona's shock win in the summer, as Napoli are a much tougher nut to crack now.
The hosts may have a few key players short of fitness, but they still boast sufficient firepower to beat an improving away side.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.28% . A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.47% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.36%) and 3-0 (10.28%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%) , while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.65%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
Result Napoli Draw Hellas Verona 73.28% ( -0.12) 17.25% ( 0.06) 9.47% ( 0.06)
Both teams to score 43.16% ( 0.06)
55.27% ( -0.06) 44.73% ( 0.06)
32.91% ( -0.06) 67.09% ( 0.06)
89.29% ( -0.05) 10.71% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 65.36% ( -0.11) 34.64% ( 0.11)
48.33% ( 0.09) 51.66% ( -0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 14.22% ( 0.06) 85.78% ( -0.06)
Napoli 73.27%
Hellas Verona 9.47%
Draw 17.25%
Napoli Draw Hellas Verona 2-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 73.27% 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 17.25% 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.47%
How you voted: Napoli vs Hellas Verona
73
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-02-11 00:04:21
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