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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Napoli logo

Udinese
1 - 3
Napoli

Thauvin (23')
Atta (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lukaku (50'), Gianetti (76' og.), Zambo Anguissa (81')
Politano (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Udinese
Monday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-1 Napoli

Napoli may drop more points, as a close-fought and cautious encounter could end all square. With neither side in fluent form, goals will be scarce, and a share of the points is set to leave Conte and co frustrated. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawNapoli
26.37% (0.343 0.34) 25.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 47.86% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 50.75% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (0.175 0.18)52.72% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (0.149 0.15)74.36% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (0.381 0.38)34.9% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (0.399 0.4)71.64% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)22.03% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.131 -0.13)55.36% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 26.37%
    Napoli 47.86%
    Draw 25.76%
UdineseDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.072 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 26.37%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 11.63% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.44% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 47.86%

How you voted: Udinese vs Napoli

Udinese
15.7%
Draw
28.9%
Napoli
55.4%
83
Head to Head
May 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Udinese
1-1
Napoli
Success (90+2')
Osimhen (51')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
4-1
Udinese
Zielinski (19' pen.), Osimhen (39'), Kvaratskhelia (74'), Simeone (81')
Simeone (71')
Samardzic (80')
Perez (62')
May 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Udinese
1-1
Napoli
Lovric (13')
Osimhen (52')
Nov 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Napoli
3-2
Udinese
Osimhen (15'), Zielinski (31'), Elmas (58')
Nestorovski (79'), Samardzic (82')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Napoli
2-1
Udinese
Osimhen (52', 63')
Rrahmani (65'), Osimhen (90+2')
Deulofeu (22')
Zeegelaar (45+2'), Udogie (50')
Mari (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli24174339172255
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta24155454262850
4Lazio24143745321345
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina24126641251642
7Bologna24101133829941
8AC Milan23108535241138
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2466122639-1324
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2472152653-2723
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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