We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Napoli
A fascinating duel between two of Italy's top tacticians should unfold at San Siro, where psychology may be just as important as ability.
Inter are strong in both departments, while Napoli remain a work in progress - most of their wins have come against lower-ranked teams - and are bound for another defeat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
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