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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

Inter Milan
4 - 4
Juventus

Zielinski (15' pen., 37' pen.), Mkhitaryan (35'), Dumfries (53')
Pavard (59'), Dumfries (75')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Vlahovic (20'), Weah (26'), Yildiz (71', 82')
Danilo (52'), Cabal (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Derby d'Italia between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 0-0 Juventus

This latest instalment of the Derby d'Italia will be a battle of trophy-winning experience against success-hungry youth: Inter have the highest average age in Serie A this season (29 years and 255 days), while Juventus have the second-lowest, more than five years younger. Both teams are more than capable of keeping clean sheets - in fact, it is written deep within Juve's DNA - so a safety-first stalemate could disappoint an expectant San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
56.25% (0.423 0.42) 23.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 20.57% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.704 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (-0.611 -0.61)47.74% (0.61 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (-0.568 -0.57)69.93% (0.566 0.57)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)16.78% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.124 -0.12)46.72% (0.122 0.12)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-0.79300000000001 -0.79)37.47% (0.79300000000001 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.788 -0.79)74.25% (0.786 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 56.25%
    Juventus 20.57%
    Draw 23.17%
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.201 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 56.25%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.57%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Juventus

Inter Milan
64.1%
Draw
29.0%
Juventus
6.9%
131
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Inter Milan
1-0
Juventus
Gatti (37' og.)
Mkhitaryan (51'), Thuram (77'), Inzaghi (79')

Vlahovic (18'), Danilo (32'), Bremer (87')
Nov 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Juventus
1-1
Inter Milan
Vlahovic (27')
Cambiaso (11'), Kostic (79')
Martinez (33')
Cuadrado (75')
Apr 26, 2023 8pm
Apr 4, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Juventus
1-1
Inter Milan
Cuadrado (83')
Lukaku (90+5' pen.)
Mar 19, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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