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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Hellas Verona logo

Cagliari
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Piccoli (75')
Marin (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Coppola (81'), Lambourde (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, November 24 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-5 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Hellas Verona

Cagliari have conceded the most goals from set-pieces in Serie A this season (10), while Hellas have leaked the most from open play (27) - in short, neither side is capable of keeping the back door shut. On home turf and with momentum behind them from snatching two late draws, the hosts should claim maximum points and leapfrog Verona in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cagliari in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cagliari.

Result
CagliariDrawHellas Verona
50.16% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.79% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 24.06% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.48% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)54.52% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)75.87% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)21.77% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.96% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.09% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)37.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.68% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 50.16%
    Hellas Verona 24.06%
    Draw 25.78%
CagliariDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Hellas Verona

Cagliari
74.4%
Draw
17.9%
Hellas Verona
7.7%
78
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 30
Cagliari
1-1
Hellas Verona
Sulemana (74')
Bonazzoli (30')
Duda (27'), Magnani (90+3')
Dec 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Hellas Verona
2-0
Cagliari
Ngonge (53'), Djuric (90')
Duda (45'), Suslov (56'), Ngonge (69')

Makoumbou (12'), Viola (56'), Sulemana (90+3')
Makoumbou (51')
Apr 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Cagliari
1-2
Hellas Verona
Pedro (57')
Pavoletti (51'), Carboni (90')
Barak (8'), Caprari (44')
Barak (22'), Tameze (23'), Hongla (56'), Simeone (77')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Hellas Verona
0-0
Cagliari
Gunter (35'), Simeone (49'), Lazovic (50'), Tudor (50')
Balde (50'), Caceres (88')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 29
Cagliari
0-2
Hellas Verona

Klavan (25')
Barak (54'), Lasagna (90+9')
Lovato (6'), Sturaro (88'), Lazovic (90+4')
Juric (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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