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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 at 10am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 0
Hiroshima

Mito (25'), Araki (28' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kawamura (23'), Araki (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Yokohama
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Alibrex Niigata might be the underdogs heading into this match, but now could be the perfect time to face their opponents considering their recent struggles which is why a draw might be the outcome this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
31.93% (0.246 0.25) 26.28% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 41.79% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.4% (0.11600000000001 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (0.105 0.1)52.12% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.094000000000001 0.09)73.84% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.22200000000001 0.22)30.44% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (0.264 0.26)66.65% (-0.265 -0.27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.67% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.106 -0.11)59.19% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 31.93%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 41.79%
    Draw 26.28%
Albirex NiigataDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 41.79%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Hiroshima

Albirex Niigata
14.3%
Draw
71.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 5am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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