Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 0Parma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Parma
Sunday, January 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Genoa 1-0 Parma
Serie A's most improved defence hosts the league's second-worst back line, so Genoa should shut Parma out and secure maximum points. One goal could decide the outcome at Marassi, where the home side are set to finally celebrate their first league win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Parma |
41.81% ( -0.1) | 26.61% ( 0.03) | 31.59% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
