Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 2Roma
We said: Bologna 1-1 Roma
This clash will put Roma's newfound resilience to the test, as Bologna are usually tough to beat at the Dall'Ara. The hosts have a five-point lead over their capital-city counterparts - with two games in hand - and they can preserve that healthy advantage with a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Roma |
47.04% ( -0.01) | 27.12% ( -0) | 25.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
