Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.