Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Le Havre1 - 2Lens
We said: Le Havre 0-1 Lens
Le Havre have the worst attack in the league (12 goals) this season, while Lens have conceded the second-fewest goals (15), and we believe the visitors will not have enough to shut down Les Ciel et Marine and return to winning ways. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.41%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Lens |
12.55% ( 0.06) | 20.55% ( 0.02) | 66.9% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.23% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( 0.03) | 50.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 0.02) | 72.49% ( -0.03) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.4% ( 0.12) | 49.59% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.62% ( 0.08) | 84.37% ( -0.09) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.76% ( -0.02) | 14.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.01% ( -0.04) | 41.98% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Le Havre 12.55%
Lens 66.89%
Draw 20.55%
| Le Havre | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 12.55% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.55% | 0-1 @ 13.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 13.41% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 66.89% |
How you voted: Le Havre vs Lens
Le Havre
14.3%Draw
20.0%Lens
65.7%35
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Apr 1, 2019 7.45pm
