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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 at 10am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 0
Kawasaki

Junker (41'), Izumi (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kawasaki Frontale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 24 at 11.30am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale

After a slip-up away in Tokyo last week, Nagoya will expect to get back to winning ways here and keep up their impressive home unbeaten record in the league. Kawasaki have been tough to beat though, and should put up a good fight in what could be an intriguing encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKawasaki Frontale
31.19% (0.384 0.38) 26.84% (-0.029 -0.03) 41.98% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.4% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.253 0.25)54.55% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.209 0.21)75.9% (-0.208 -0.21)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (0.405 0.41)32.2% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (0.456 0.46)68.68% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)25.67% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)60.57% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 31.19%
    Kawasaki Frontale 41.97%
    Draw 26.83%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.97%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki

Nagoya Grampus
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Kawasaki Frontale
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 7am
Gameweek 8
Kawasaki
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Miyashiro (56')
Sep 14, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 22
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kawasaki
Inagaki (74')
Tachibanada (61')
Mar 12, 2022 8am
Gameweek 4
Kawasaki
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Marcinho (25')
Songkrasin (15')

Morishita (75')
May 4, 2021 7am
Gameweek 12
Kawasaki
3-2
Nagoya Grampus
Jesiel (31'), Yamane (50'), Maruyama (59' og.)
Inagaki (73'), Mateus (83')
Apr 29, 2021 7am
Gameweek 22
Nagoya Grampus
0-4
Kawasaki
Hatate (3'), Damiao (11', 23'), Tono (84')
Hatate (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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