Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.39%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.