Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Racing Club Warwick had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Racing Club Warwick win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hednesford Town would win this match.