Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between AFC Emley and St Helens.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hull FC 6-46 St Helens
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Super League
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Super League
Next Game: St Helens vs. Salford
Thursday, August 8 at 8pm in Super League
Thursday, August 8 at 8pm in Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Emley win with a probability of 39%. A win for St Helens had a probability of 38.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Emley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.29%) and 3-1 (4.74%). The likeliest St Helens win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Emley would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Emley | Draw | St Helens |
39% ( 0.58) | 22.27% ( -0.05) | 38.72% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 68.29% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.95% ( 0.27) | 32.05% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.37% ( 0.31) | 53.62% ( -0.32) |
AFC Emley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( 0.36) | 17.3% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.34% ( 0.64) | 47.65% ( -0.64) |
St Helens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( -0.11) | 17.42% ( 0.11) |