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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
FC Volendam

Utrecht
4 - 2
Volendam

Booth (38', 57', 84'), Viergever (45')
Boussaid (35'), van der Hoorn (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Booth (9'), Flint (54')
Flint (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, January 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 FC Volendam

With two of the Eredivisie's lowest scorers going head-to-head, we are anticipating a drab affair. That said, we fancy Utrecht to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawFC Volendam
74.76% (1.678 1.68) 15.12% (-0.601 -0.6) 10.12% (-1.078 -1.08)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-1.84 -1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82% (-0.324 -0.32)32.18% (0.321 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.22% (-0.376 -0.38)53.78% (0.372 0.37)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.74% (0.259 0.26)7.26% (-0.2629 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.69% (0.684 0.68)26.31% (-0.686 -0.69)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.2% (-2.155 -2.15)41.8% (2.151 2.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.74% (-1.938 -1.94)78.26% (1.935 1.94)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 74.75%
    FC Volendam 10.12%
    Draw 15.12%
FC UtrechtDrawFC Volendam
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.447 0.45)
3-0 @ 9.13% (0.516 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.243 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 5.98% (0.415 0.42)
4-1 @ 5.22% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.213 -0.21)
5-0 @ 3.14% (0.257 0.26)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.106 -0.11)
6-0 @ 1.37% (0.13 0.13)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.047 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 74.75%
1-1 @ 6.94% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.301 -0.3)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.12%
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.275 -0.28)
0-1 @ 2.65% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.12%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Volendam

FC Utrecht
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
FC Volendam
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Volendam
1-0
Utrecht
Muhren (57')
Kohler (6'), Twigt (35'), Douiri (83'), Ould-Chikh (90+4')

Fraulo (20'), Lidberg (20')
Viergever (5')
Apr 2, 2023 1.30pm
Nov 12, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 14
Volendam
0-4
Utrecht
Booth (14'), Dost (74'), Van de Streek (84'), Bozdogan (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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