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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
74.76% ( 1.68) | 15.12% ( -0.6) | 10.12% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -1.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.82% ( -0.32) | 32.18% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.22% ( -0.38) | 53.78% ( 0.37) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.74% ( 0.26) | 7.26% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.69% ( 0.68) | 26.31% ( -0.69) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.2% ( -2.15) | 41.8% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.74% ( -1.94) | 78.26% ( 1.94) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.13) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.59% Total : 74.75% | 1-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.12% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |