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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
32.2% ( 0.26) | 24.81% ( 0.17) | 42.99% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% ( -0.65) | 45.72% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.96% ( -0.62) | 68.04% ( 0.62) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( -0.15) | 27.1% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% ( -0.2) | 62.48% ( 0.2) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% ( -0.47) | 21.31% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.75% ( -0.73) | 54.25% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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