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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
63.85% ( -0.01) | 19.48% ( 0) | 16.67% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.33% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.76% ( -0.01) | 37.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.55% ( -0.01) | 59.46% ( 0.02) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.94% ( -0) | 11.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.58% ( -0.01) | 35.43% ( 0.02) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( 0) | 35.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.7% ( 0) | 72.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 63.85% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.1% 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 16.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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