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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 22.3% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles |
55.68% (![]() | 22.02% (![]() | 22.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.52% (![]() | 40.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.14% (![]() | 62.86% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.56% (![]() | 14.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.61% (![]() | 42.39% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.28% (![]() | 31.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.86% (![]() | 68.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.85% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.68% | 1-1 @ 10.17% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.84% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 48 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Feyenoord | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 36 |
6 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Groningen | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |