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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
69.61% ( 0.04) | 17.47% ( -0.03) | 12.92% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.12% ( 0.13) | 35.88% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.03% ( 0.14) | 57.97% ( -0.14) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.73% ( 0.05) | 9.27% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.67% ( 0.11) | 31.33% ( -0.1) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.35% ( 0.07) | 39.64% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.67% ( 0.06) | 76.32% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.47% | 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 12.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |