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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
48.07% | 23.55% | 28.38% |
Both teams to score 59.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.13% ( -0) | 41.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.73% | 64.26% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.38% | 17.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.8% | 48.2% |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% | 27.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% | 63.25% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.82% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |