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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
34.65% ( -0.09) | 22.5% ( 0.01) | 42.86% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 66.78% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.22% ( -0.08) | 33.78% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.39% ( -0.09) | 55.61% ( 0.09) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.93% ( -0.08) | 20.07% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.71% ( -0.13) | 52.29% ( 0.13) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.54% | 16.46% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.84% ( 0) | 46.16% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.65% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 42.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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