MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 19:29:35| >> :60:513:513:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio CAP

Huachipato
2 - 3
Racing

Martinez (4', 63')
Malanca (30'), Martinez (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cotugno (31', 49'), Nandin (38')
Magallanes (17'), Monzon (56'), Nandin (66'), Ferreira (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Huachipato and Racing de Montevideo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Huachipato 0-1 Gremio
Wednesday, June 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maldonado 1-1 Racing
Friday, July 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

We said: Huachipato 2-1 Racing de Montevideo

Huachipato have been inconsistent at home, and Racing CM are on a winless streak, suggesting a closely fought match between the two sides on Tuesday. However, the hosts have demonstrated superior quality over the past year and hold a slight advantage over the visitors, making them favourites to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
HuachipatoDrawRacing de Montevideo
51.05% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 24.51% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 24.45% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)49.16% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)71.23% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Huachipato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)19.26% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)50.98% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (0.087999999999994 0.09)34.61% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67% (0.093 0.09)71.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Huachipato 51.04%
    Racing de Montevideo 24.45%
    Draw 24.5%
HuachipatoDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Huachipato vs Racing

Huachipato
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Racing de Montevideo
6.7%
15
rhs 2.0
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