Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Oct 22, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Diogao
Bragantino4 - 2Athletico PR
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bragantino 0-2 Santos
Tuesday, October 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, October 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Coritiba
Sunday, October 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
Result | ||
Bragantino | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
59.08% ( -0.12) | 23.18% ( -0.01) | 17.73% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.34% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% ( 0.21) | 51.58% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( 0.18) | 73.37% ( -0.18) |
Bragantino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.85% ( 0.03) | 17.15% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.61% ( 0.06) | 47.39% ( -0.06) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.14% ( 0.28) | 42.86% ( -0.27) |