Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2022 at 1am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Santos2 - 0Athletico PR
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Santos
Sunday, September 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
55.49% ( 0.16) | 25.18% ( -0.12) | 19.33% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 44.43% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.09% ( 0.37) | 56.91% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.18% ( 0.29) | 77.82% ( -0.29) |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( 0.21) | 20.52% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% ( 0.33) | 53.02% ( -0.33) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.89% ( 0.17) | 44.11% ( -0.16) |