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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
0 - 0
River Plate


Domina (90')
FT

Diaz (28'), Diaz (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 1-0 Rosario
Wednesday, July 31 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, July 28 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Union 1-0 River Plate

Union have been absolutely superb on home soil in this campaign, with a perfect record so far, while scoring six times and conceding just once. River Plate on the other hand, have been dreadful on the road, and we think they will not be able to cope with what the hosts will throw at them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Union had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawRiver Plate
29.32% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 27.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 42.71% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.29% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.38% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23% (0.010000000000002 0.01)79.76% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)36.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)72.91% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97%63.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Union 29.32%
    River Plate 42.7%
    Draw 27.97%
UnionDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 12.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 42.7%

How you voted: Union vs River Plate

Union
55.0%
Draw
25.0%
River Plate
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 1.30am
Jun 19, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 4
Union
1-5
River Plate
Peralta (79')
Machuca (41'), Luna Diale (66')
Romero (16'), Fernandez (59'), Alvarez (73', 90+5'), Palavecino (87')
de la Cruz (43'), Perez (45+1'), Herrera (54')
Feb 12, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 1
Union
1-0
River Plate
Luna Diale (58' pen.)
Juarez (64'), Britez (66')

Martinez (26'), Gomez (34'), Armani (57'), Casco (60')
Jul 25, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
River Plate
4-0
Union
Romero (12'), Suarez (34'), De La Cruz (61'), Diaz (65')
Suarez (42')
Feb 10, 2020 12.45am
Gameweek 19
Union
1-2
River Plate
Bou (47')
Blasi (85')
Fernandez (55'), Rojas (65')
Martinez (15'), Borre (58'), Quintero (89')
rhs 2.0
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