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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26
Dec 8, 2024 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
4 - 0
Rosario

Solari (45+2', 72'), Borja (69'), Martinez (89' pen.)
Colidio (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruben (34'), Valentino Raffin (59'), Ibarra (66'), Martinez (77'), Isaias Silva (79')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-1 San Lorenzo
Thursday, December 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 0-2 Racing
Saturday, November 30 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.61%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawRosario Central
66.28% (0.15900000000001 0.16) 21.85% (-0.226 -0.23) 11.87% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 37.95% (0.723 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25% (0.896 0.9)56.75% (-0.895 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (0.714 0.71)77.7% (-0.71300000000001 -0.71)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.36999999999999 0.37)16.49% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (0.663 0.66)46.21% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.44% (0.666 0.67)54.56% (-0.666 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.38% (0.399 0.4)87.62% (-0.399 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 66.27%
    Rosario Central 11.87%
    Draw 21.85%
River PlateDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 16.21% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 14.61% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.78% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.121 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 66.27%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-2 @ 2.68% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.85%
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 2.98% (0.055 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 11.87%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2024 1am
Gameweek 13
River Plate
2-1
Rosario
Borja (67', 87')
Fonseca (33'), Casco (46'), Gonzalez Pirez (64')
Giaccone (14')
Martinez (28'), Campaz (90+4')
Nov 11, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 13
Rosario
3-1
River Plate
Martinez (45+2'), Gonzalez Pirez (57' og.), Campaz (85')
Martinez (60'), Sandez (69')
Barco (26')
Fernandez (7'), Simon (33'), Herrera (49'), Perez (54'), de la Cruz (83'), Barco (90+1')
Perez (63')
Jul 24, 2023 1am
Gameweek 26
Rosario
3-3
River Plate
Veliz (20', 74'), Ferreyra (85')
Mac Allister (67'), Martinez (68'), Campaz (88'), Ferreyra (90+7'), Broun (90+7')
Rondon (50'), Solari (78', 90+7')
Mammana (1'), Herrera (40'), Simon (52')
Jul 24, 2023 1am
Gameweek 26
Rosario
3-3
River Plate
Veliz (20', 74'), Ferreyra (85')
Mac Allister (67'), Martinez (68'), Campaz (88'), Ferreyra (90+7'), Broun (90+7')
Rondon (50'), Solari (78', 90+7')
Mammana (1'), Herrera (40'), Simon (52')
Oct 17, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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