Metalist Kharkiv

2 - 1

Inhulets

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.