Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih in this match.