Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
East Fife | Draw | Montrose |
44.76% | 25.03% | 30.21% |
Both teams to score 55.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.5% | 47.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.29% | 69.71% |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.75% | 21.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.84% | 54.16% |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% | 29.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.74% | 65.26% |
Score Analysis |
East Fife | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 14 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
3 | Montrose | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 11 |
6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
7 | Arbroath | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 |
8 | Cove Rangers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 8 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |