Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.