Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 1-0 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.