National League South | Gameweek 41
May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Marsh Lane
Oxford City3 - 1St Albans City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and St Albans City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bath City 3-3 Oxford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Dartford | 40 | 33 | 74 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 40 | 25 | 69 |
| 6 | Eastbourne Borough | 40 | 6 | 60 |
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Havant & Waterlooville | 40 | 3 | 57 |
| 9 | St Albans City | 40 | -3 | 52 |
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 40 | 3 | 51 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for St Albans City had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a St Albans City win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | St Albans City |
| 54.83% | 22.63% | 22.53% |
| Both teams to score 56.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
