Hemel Hempstead

3 - 5

Oxford City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.