Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
