Chester

2 - 1

Curzon Ashton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.