Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.