Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.
